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You Don't Know What You Don't Know

2011 | Jun 1 in Recruiting , Home Page News , Leadership

By E-Myth Business Coach,

My clients, Steve and Susan, run a pizza parlor. They’ve been in business for nearly six years and they’ve managed to make a comfortable — albeit hectic — living thus far. Sometimes business is good, sometimes it’s not. Relatively new to the coaching program, they’ve still not been able to give me a solid reason for what was causing their business to ebb and flow. Fortunately, they have a prime location with heavy foot traffic and a loyal customer base so they’ve always been able to get by.

In our last coaching session, Susan, who keeps the books for the restaurant, told me a story. It seems that a few months back she’d noticed that the month’s totals were far less than the previous month's. They were experiencing an unusually slow period and cash flow was poor. The problem was that they had no way of quantifying how this slow period compared to their busier times.

They only knew it was slow because there was less money, because it felt slow.

So, deciding to be proactive, Steve and Susan opted to get more bodies through the door by offering a coupon redeemable for a free draft beer with the purchase of a small pizza. They were excited about this fresh and innovative idea, and were confident that it would surely boost sales. They placed a coupon in the local paper and waited.

And, sure enough, it felt busier. The restaurant felt noisier. They took more orders. They sold more pizzas. But, as the end of the month drew near, Susan was shocked to see that their bottom line hadn't increased with the increased amount of business that their promotion had generated.

"But how could this be?" she thought.

She couldn't understand how it was possible. The restaurant had felt so busy; she had personally helped so many customers. She was more exhausted than she had been in a long, long time. But, none of this sweat equity was reflected in the bottom line.

Consumed with frustration, and at her wits end, Susan concluded that one of her employees must be stealing from them. This was the only reasonable explanation. So, she asked Steve to fire Helen, the suspiciously quiet and shifty-eyed cashier.

The following month, they continued with the promotion, assuming that their money problems had been solved with the firing of Helen.

And, surely, it felt busy. The restaurant was noisy. They took even more orders. They sold even more pizzas. But, once again, as the end of the month drew near, Susan was shocked to see that their bottom line still hadn't increased.

Steve and Susan were extremely upset. Had they been wrong about Helen? It felt like a busy month, but again, with Helen gone they'd been short-handed. Was their promotion a failure? Was their business doomed?

Questions.

Concerns.

Frustrations.

Doubts.

Panic.

Fear of the unknown.

Steve and Susan were standing on the edge, looking deep into the crater called "They don't know what they don't know."

I assured them that they were not alone. In fact, most business owners operate in that safe-seeming, comfortable haven of "What I know, I know."

I know how to make pizzas.
I know how to repair VW engines.
I know how to shop for insurance products and give investment advice.
I know how to direct actors and design theater sets.

But...

I don't know how to run a pizza restaurant business.
I don't know how to figure the margin on parts and accurately evaluate the true value of my time.
I don't know how to market my financial advisory services.
I don't know how to gauge the appeal of this particular kind of play to my market, and I don't know how to price my tickets to assure my theater will last the season.

Steve and Susan were using qualitative criteria (what they knew they knew), instead of quantitative criteria (what they didn't know they didn't know) to determine the success of their innovation. If Steve and Susan had begun with a simple quantification plan to track and record things such as: desired results, actual costs, and effectiveness of their innovation, they would have been able to measure and monitor an informed outcome before things got so out of hand.

Innovations, if not quantified, might not address the frustration that they were intended to deal with. Or, they might not address the frustration in the most efficient and compelling way possible. That's where quantification comes in — innovations, once quantified, can become orchestrated into the operating reality of your business. Quantification systems allow you to measure the impact of the innovations that you implement in your business. Without quantification — and knowing exactly what it is you want the result to be and knowing, therefore, exactly what it is you will need to measure to tell you if you've obtained it — you don't know if your innovation has worked, and you lack the controls to orchestrate it properly.



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Comments

  1. .Robert M. says:

    I couldn't agree more with your comments. I have Coached more than 800 sales teams that are financial advisers. It is always amazing to me when they feel that activity is always the answer. When you evaluate the type of activity you can detect the root cause problem. They must delineate between high quality activity versus all other as just being busy just wears you out. It has very little to do with increased production. Going one step further I would suggest that every business needs to examine the strategies it has decided to implement. Peopl who just focus on day to day tactics that really don't support high level strategies are usually under  performing.

    Submitted Jun 1, 2011 10:21 AM

  2. .Michael G. says:

    I'm a little confused. What was the cause of the inability to improve their bottom line? Were they wrong about Helen? What is your purpose in telling this story? What type of reaction are you looking for? What is the reason you asked me to go through this exercise?

    Submitted Jun 1, 2011 11:34 AM

  3. .Daniel F. says:

    I am not sure the purpose of this article. It has no ending and the advice about quantatative vs qualitative was superficial at best. Strange.

    Submitted Jun 1, 2011 12:45 PM

  4. .Evgeny G. says:

    You can't qualify what you don't know without allowing employees to partner with you to define the database fields on their hunches. (You also need an on the fly database that can build new fields on the fly, too. Now everything in your business will make more sense.

    Submitted Jun 1, 2011 2:31 PM

  5. .sara s. says:

    Totally left me confused too. I don't think I ever experienced that when reading an emyth coaching article before... usually there are a few good takeaways.

    Submitted Jun 1, 2011 3:19 PM

  6. .Themba M. says:

    Good lesson on innovation but maybe we need to be more specific on what needs to be measured, the the lesson can be more complete.

    Submitted Jun 1, 2011 9:17 PM

  7. .Jim H. says:

    Every business person has at least three habits that prevent reaching goals. In this case the offending habit is 'not knowing' or believing that limiting their knowledge to 'operating stuff' albeit excellent falls short of Managing and evolving strategies to prevent shortfalls and ensuring growth.

    It rattles my thinking. I want to work out the tactics and strategies I'd use to get beyond daily/weekly Quality measures - work out what needs to be measured. What KPI's to use etc  

    Submitted Jun 2, 2011 4:00 AM

  8. .FRANK A. says:

    With no disrespect to the other people who made their comment, yet i think many of you need to read exhaustively the E-myth Mastery for a full grasp of the concept of quantification-innovation-orchestration. Usually what needs to be quantified are the raw materials put in to produce a particular item inthier case (pizza). stuff like the exact amount a particular item would be required to produce what qty of pizza and the monetary implication of that item from raw material stage ( units,kg, and so on ) matched against the value after being processed. Also other things to look at in this particualr sitaution are cost of sales which is other item required to finalize the product for sales (usually packaging, delivery cost, etc) i hope the information has been useful

    FRANK JAMES

    CEO/LEVER BUSINESS SOLUTIONS

    Submitted Jun 2, 2011 9:37 AM

  9. .Sharon F. says:

    Seems like that free draft beer cost them more to give away than they made selling the small pizza. Perhaps they needed to give away a small pizza and charge for the beer! In this case, quantification is most important. Just "feeling" busier doesn't put a number on it -- they need to COUNT how many customers came in, how many ordered the special, what was the average ticket for each meal, etc. It's a lot of work. But it's better than "not knowing."

    Submitted Jun 2, 2011 10:17 AM

  10. .Steven R. says:

    I am a strong believer in quantification and regular monitoring of KSIs (Key Strategic Indicators). Intuition and hunches often can get a business idea going, but from that point forward we need to measure the effects of the new idea to ensure that our hunch matches our business reality.

    The story was quite clear to me. If you don't quantify when you are stearing a business, how do you know if you turned too far or not enough?

    Submitted Jun 2, 2011 7:57 PM

  11. .Kenneth E. says:

    They were not quanitfying their results in any way.  How many beers did they give away?  Did they require the presentation of a coupon from the paper ad?  What was their ROI on the ad campaing - How much did they spend on the advertising + free beer vs. the gross profit from the additional business that came from the ad?

    I thought the article was wel done as a brain teaser to get folk thinking about how to manage a business via quantitive analysis vs. "feelings".

    Submitted Jun 3, 2011 12:54 PM

  12. .Amanda H. says:

    I agree with the people that are confused - as the "story" didn't have a conclusion.  What was the reason that they weren't making money - I mean we can all guess but what was the result of their actual quantifiable data after their E-Myth Coach got them to measure their activity. Are they now making better profit now after doing this?

    Submitted Jun 3, 2011 3:26 PM

  13. .Robert C. says:

    I have been an accountant for 20 years now, and for the most of the last 10 years I have been talking to our clients about "You Don't Know What You Don't Know".  So I totally understand what this couple is going through. 

    As a graduate of the mastery program I have been working on my systems for about three years now.  So I am finally starting to practice what I have been talking about it to our clients.  I just begun after three years of work to truely realized the value and benefit of quantifing your business.

    Submitted Jun 4, 2011 6:22 PM

  14. .Martin W. says:

    Submitted Jun 6, 2011 6:27 AM

  15. .carol m. says:

    An in-conclusive teaching

    Submitted Jun 9, 2011 12:43 AM

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